BDB 2020 Preview Introduction

That’s right, it’s Preview Time! Before I get to the previews themselves, there are a few things I would like to call your attention to for this BDB 2020 Season.

As we all know, I use Fangraphs WAR to measure every team’s production.  This year as we all know, it’s going to be a bit different.  My assessment of WAR for this season, is that the numbers for WAR are on the high side, especially with being prorated.  Although the numbers are difficult to use when comparing to other seasons, within the current season they seem adequate to provide a viable prediction for team performance for the upcoming season.   Please keep in mind, as always when it comes time to “Play Ball” there will always be nine games that come down to dumb luck.  So, if your team’s prediction is within nine games of the top dog, like Lloyd and Harry, you can say — “So you’re sayin’ there’s a chance!”  

For this year’s review, there will be three sections.  The first is general comments on BDB2019 performance.  This will be followed with an in-depth analysis of the upcoming year, and following that, a new section called “Hope for the Future” which will provide you with a three-year performance review based on your current roster using the ZIPS predictive model provided by Fangraphs.  This shall provide every team with a sense with how things are going and whether you are on the climb, the peak or the decline.  It is a conservative model, but it gives what I believe, a pretty good indication of where you will find yourself in your own division.

Personally, I am looking forward to this upcoming season, as there is a pretty good chance, that the future BDB champion will be a first time Crown wearer!  Imagine that, a first in 20 years.  

Best Luck to all teams

The Commish